Monday, July 16, 2007

Phillies 10k loss


I went to my first Phillies game since the 2005 season last night which was their 10,000th all time loss. Granted, I knew that they were a loss away, but when it was earlier in the week that I decided to go to the game I didn't think it would turn out to be loss 10k.. Anyways, it was a pitiful game for the Phillies as they lost 10-2 and the Cardinals hit a bunch of home runs. I guess maybe it's better to lose this way than to lose a close one. I'm not a big Phillies fans, so I probably don't appreciate being at the game as much as long time die hard fans, but still it's a sport event I probably won't forget attending any time soon.

Monday, July 09, 2007

housing bubble

There seems to be alot of people that are fear mongers. Whether it's people who on the left like Al Gore who talk about global warming, or people on the right like Glen Beck or Sean Hannity who talk about terrorism, they make it sound like we need to worry about these things none stop. Yes, global warming, and terrorism are very important issues but Manhattan isn't going to be underwater in our lifetime and more people will die in car accidents and of heart disease this month then probably have ever died from terrorism in this country.

The one place where fear mongering is somewhat appropriate is the housing market. Housing prices have been ridiculously going up the last few years. Generally the median price of a home should rise at the same level as the median income. Over the first 5 years of this decade the median price of a home has gone up about 10% a year while median incomes have gone up about 3%. (check out 2nd article below) Some of this is due to being easier to finance homes (mostly lower mortgage rates, ARM teaser loans, etc.) but all things being equal they should go up the same. Most analysts now see a decline in housing prices in 2007. (check out below article) The most optimistic are the NAR (National Association of Realtors) but I would be a little hesitant with them since they depend on the housing market for their well being so they will always try to put a more positive spin. Anyways with housing prices growing astronomically the 1st half of the decade I can’t see them growing over the next 5 years or so. I've been looking into buying a place in the next year or so and I've looked at sales histories of townhouses and condos that I had interest and many of them sold for half of what they are selling for now in 1999 - 2001. To me that was a big turnoff because if something doubled that fast I don't see it appreciating much anytime soon. I'm no fortune teller but I don't see housing prices going up until sometime early in the next decade.

http://money.cnn.com/2007/05/23/real_estate/prediction_big_home_price_drop/index.htm?postversion=2007052413

http://money.cnn.com/2007/08/29/real_estate/housing_costs_strangling_low_income_Americans/index.htm?postversion=2007090310

Saturday, July 07, 2007

Washington DC


I was in Washington DC for the first time in over 7 years last weekend. Previous trips to DC have been mostly with family and mostly doing the whole tourist thing. Although we did spend a lot of time on the mall doing the tourist thing, it was the first time I spend a lot of time in different DC neigborhoods. I really liked Georgetown a lot. It's not quite like any neigborhood I've seen in other cities such as philly and NYC. It's within a mile or two of downtown and the white house but yet it has a somewhat suburban feel. Georgetown and George Washington universities are nearby, but it's not quote the same as University City in Philly with Drexel and Penn right there. I had briefly been there once before but this was the first time I stayed overnight near there and got to spend a decent amount of time. I also got to experience the DC nightlife. It was surprisingly packed everywhere considering school is out of session but I guess a lot of people are there for the summer and a lot of people in their 20's and 30's live near there as well. I would definitely recommend anybody visiting DC to check out the Georgetown area.